A Golden Decision Rule
Elon Musk was asked by an interviewer what he does when he makes a wrong decision. He said he doesn't make decisions based on being right. He makes decisions based on expected value. Which means he expects to be wrong frequently. He said if you're not wrong at least 30% of the time you're not making enough decisions. He described SpaceX's approach to rocket design. Instead of spending years perfecting a design on paper and…