Robert Albertson Q3 Take

As we’ve done in previous quarters, the first take of the quarter was written by Robert Albertson, one of the better tea leaves readers I know.  Overview:  While the vast bulk of third quarter bank operating results were strong and generally above estimates, a handful of credit issues has driven bank stock valuations lower, some sharply so.  Most investors have succumbed to the fear that this could be an industry-wide alert, but the issues that have…

What Big Banks Are Saying About Inflation, Recession & Credit Trends

During Q3 earnings calls, senior executives of eight of the biggest U.S. consumer banks talked to analysts about the impact of inflation on credit now and about their expectations for the impact of a recession. So far, it seems, the overall impact of the recession has been muted, but all, including our biggest banks, are preparing for a turn to the worse. During third quarter 2022 earnings briefings, many large bank leaders have continued to…

Debt Forgiveness and Loan Modifications

We’ve all been eyeball-deep in PPP for eight weeks, and now debt forgiveness is looming ahead, albeit with minimal guidance. As you organize yourself to handle this next deluge, I’m sure you’ll apply many of the lessons learned during the initial PPP process.  In addition, here are some thoughts for you: • Don’t wait.  Start organizing – not just planning – right now.  Put together a committee that meets frequently to pull together the resources,…